>I am assuming she will ask for a referendum at the very least.
Think so. From what I gather, she would rather wait but her grass roots are applying pressure to make it happen ASAP.
I'm in one of those Scottish seats that voted in a Tory, the population is generally older here. A lot of the SNP vote is actually just a counterweight to a more South-centric Tory vote IMO. We shunted Labour and now the traditional Labour seats in England are following. From a personal standpoint, doesn't make much difference to me who is in power at Westminster, my house is pretty much paid for and I'm low maintenance, I'll survive whoever gets in. On an ideal level, I think Scots are thinking/choosing differently enough to choose a different direction. Nothing against the UK or GB whatsoever either.
>What cards
We're in a union of equals. Back in the day the population proportion was more like 1 SCO/4 ENG, nowadays 1/10. Even so, it's a union.
In the 2014 referendum Westminster took the stance that Scotland would take a share of the UK national debt and 0% of assets. That's about as far as the scope of independence was taken from their standpoint. Makes for massive uncertainty about a 'yes' vote when 'our' share of the UK is worth precisely nil, according to London. It's just a bit perverse that the union parliament unilaterally decides those things against a portion of its union, isn't it.
As the SNP mantra goes, Scotland is being forced out of the EU against its will, considering our Yes vote in the EU referendum. The SNP mandate in this general election 'kind of' says the same.
Personally I think the SNP should do groundwork on what kind of withdrawal method an independent Scotland would take, get it in writing, but as it stands a new referendum would just be a repeat of the 2014 version, only difference in scenario being the choice the UK made in the EU ref.
The thing in Scotland is how you identify. If you're British, it's simply a UK-wide result and we respect it. If you identify as Scottish, you see that the SNP won the election up here overwhelmingly and it's at odds with the rest of the UK. Seems to me most election maps the past 10 years show the latter.
I blame this general mess on neglect of the English regions outside the South East anyways. Pretty sure the Geordies would like to come up our way
If Brexit proves a mess and London's financial sector loses its global shine, who knows, maybe indy would happen. For me, there's too many barriers in the way, psychologically up here as well as resistance from the folks in London.