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Messages - gm66

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4
Water Cooler / Significant upward surge in client positions.
« on: June 01, 2020, 11:38:36 PM »
It's been 3 weeks now and every single one of my clients has had a major upswing, every single one, all in different markets.

Algaroo has reported no amazing volatility, of course we had the May core update, but up across every client, i've never had that before as a single surge.

Since they introduced the so-called rank-brain i've recorded massive swings, in comparison to pre-rank-brain ranking. Rank-brain seems aggressive in it's recalculations, it seems to be trying new things all the time, which isn't necessarily good for a fixed space like search.

Anyone else anomalously benefiting recently, sudden upswings with no extra work, across the board ?


5
Water Cooler / Re: Darwin 2020
« on: June 01, 2020, 08:43:04 PM »
I'm getting a bit jealous of the religious monopoly on the award. Is something going on behind the scenes ?

6
Water Cooler / Re: YOUTUBE music thread
« on: May 29, 2020, 11:31:02 PM »
Many memories of my first special lady : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tz8uNRWsmFY

7
Water Cooler / For any UK veg box delivery customers
« on: May 29, 2020, 11:29:01 PM »
I like to buy at least my root veg organic since they suck up a lot more pesticides if they aren't. For two bloody years i was buying my weekly box (£15 of veg plus sometimes cheese and wine) from https://riverford.co.uk

Then i found https://www.piktfresh.com/

Same quality, significantly cheaper.

And they wash the carrots for you !


8
Goodnight Lenz's Law :

Patents (some ungranted as yet): https://tinyurl.com/y95pmtcq

Technical marketing : https://www.slideshare.net/ThaneCHeins




9
Water Cooler / Re: Corona Virus - Save Yourselves
« on: May 28, 2020, 11:35:02 AM »
But that's merely an attack ad hominem. I'm more curious what he thinks of the basic idea - why isn't Sweden experiencing disaster if Covid is as bad as we feared? What is the explanation that they don't have 10X our death rate?

I think the real way to look at this is to count up all deaths and see what statistical anomalies emerge. Most European and North American countries get pretty accurate counts of annual deaths. You can't fudge that much. But you can decide not to test anyone who is already dead, for example.

I poked around and found this, which does in fact just look at total reported deaths, regardless of cause:
"Sweden’s outbreak has been far deadlier than those of its neighbors, but it’s still better off than many countries that enforced strict lockdowns."
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/15/world/europe/sweden-coronavirus-deaths.html

Finland and Norway saw no increase in deaths, but Sweden has a 27% increase.

Also, if you look at mobility numbers, Swedes voluntarily did a lot of self-isolation. I don't think you could count on Americans or Italians to do that (that data show you can't, in fact)

Yes it's annoying when someone attackes the messenger instead of thinking about the message, i don't know why he didn't properly answer. I'm shocked at Sweden's sudden increase, only a couple of months ago it was neck and neck with Norway.

10
Water Cooler / Re: SpaceX launch live feed
« on: May 27, 2020, 10:41:38 PM »
Saturday's weather looking good.

11
Water Cooler / Re: Corona Virus - Save Yourselves
« on: May 27, 2020, 10:39:20 PM »
How Fear, Groupthink Drove Unnecessary Global Lockdowns
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/05/21/how_fear_groupthink_drove_unnecessary_global_lockdowns_143253.html

I wonder what gm66's friend would think of this - it's an attack on Neil Ferguson among other things.

But it's more general than that. The central thesis is that lockdown was unnecessary, based on the Swedish and Italian experience, and that politicians won't admit it because it would make them look bad.

Duncanb's reply :

"As to the opinion blog for a sniper platoon commanded with no
knowledge of medicine or public health, please !! ...

Yinon served 10 years in the military, first serving as a Marine
Corps Scout/Sniper Platoon Commander, and then as an Army Special
Forces officer, deploying overseas multiple times throughout his
military career. Before founding CarDash, he co-founded and ran
RallyPoint, and previously worked as Director of Product Marketing at
WiTricity."

12
That has me wondering how much is known of music in the ancient world and transmission of instruments and music across broader distances.

A favourite topic of mine, you should hear my collection of 1920's music, not so ancient but fun!

The ancient Egyptians left us no transcriptions of tunes, but we know they strongly effected musicians in Greece, Europe and even so far as the Orient, and we know most of their instruments.

Ancient Rome left us quite a lot of transcribed pieces, this is my favourite YT channel for listening to that, i love the fact you know you are hearing it just as it sounded 2K years or more ago :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCELVA_m6FtrEB3ZuGW0aybA

The ancient Greeks left some behind also, this chap specialises in that, some are from original works (mostly dust so mainly illegible) and some are his own :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elERNFoEf3Y





13
One up for Kahoot. Kids use it all the time and setting up a contest/quizz is quite simple. You can also find a lot of old quizzes.

Fantastic, i'll use that when it's our turn next, assuming we're still in lockdown!

14
Water Cooler / Re: Corona Virus - Save Yourselves
« on: May 27, 2020, 05:55:43 PM »
How Fear, Groupthink Drove Unnecessary Global Lockdowns
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/05/21/how_fear_groupthink_drove_unnecessary_global_lockdowns_143253.html

I wonder what gm66's friend would think of this - it's an attack on Neil Ferguson among other things.

But it's more general than that. The central thesis is that lockdown was unnecessary, based on the Swedish and Italian experience, and that politicians won't admit it because it would make them look bad.

I'll ask him :)

15
Water Cooler / Re: Covid 19 interesting data from the UK
« on: May 27, 2020, 09:25:46 AM »
My friend Duncan (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duncan_Campbell_(journalist)) told me off for jumping on the Neil Ferguson hate bandwagon :

"Looking at code in a critical way is also good, my friend, but hang
on hard to your goolies and don't get swept over by internet
rage-raising that has nothing to do with science or public health.

Ferguson and his team have been doing the same jobs internationally
for at least 2 decades before Johnson and Cummings showed up to and
chose to write cohorts of our population and elders off to quick and
terrifying deaths, alone, and without medical help, in pursuit of
dumb old ideas and new fantasies.

He and Imperial will be around when Britain is finally shot of these people.

Because of the gravity of what they did in February and March, and
the lethal effects, they are desperate for any distraction, as Trump
as is. The attacks on Ferguson come from there, as did the spying on
his personal life and then the hate campaign against him in
tabloids. We have seen it all before, have we not?

Take a deep breath, and see if any codepicking nitpicks actually
affect the scientific outcomes. For example, how does Imperial's
predictions compare with the University College, Edinburgh or John
Hopkins models.

Have proper peer-checked papers been published that make criticisms
of the IC model?

Most important.. Have you gone and got the code, run it, checked the
issues and claims and how they would affect outcomes. Have you
read the other and related NERVTAG papers about it ?

I would have expected everyone's models to essentially be at least 10
years old, because they were all put together after SARS. Its not a
crisicism, at all. There's been no real huge pandemic since.

If there is a stochastic element set to diffferent runs, then of
course each run will be different, and drive a probabilistic
outcomes. All these points need to be checked, to be responsible.

If you'd like to dig further, there is definitely rigourous checking
needing to be done. Suggest you do all the checks above, and come back"

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