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Messages - ergophobe

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1
>> 205%

The bigger question is what percentage of the annual total is that? Answer, 100%. In other words, if we add nothing to the snowpack and receive as much snow as melts off between now and May 1, we will have a "normal" year.
https://www.kron4.com/news/snowfall-hits-100-percent-of-the-annual-average-in-californias-sierra-nevada-mountains/

Whether the drought is "over" or not is a somewhat different question. This may be a brief interlude in a long mega-drought or possibly turning the corner on a decade plus of drought. Not likely the latter.

2
>>the seven-seat SUV should sell for under $80,000.

Not that I want a seven-seat SUV, but... ouch!

3
One thing that is cool about EVs is that people are really rethinking what a car should be, from the Cybertanktruck to the LUVly, there is a so much broader design space.

Lately, I have been thinking that in a first "hybrid" phase, the idea was that you have one car that uses both gas and electric power trains, but the second phase will be two vehicles, one gas and one electric, and the final phase will be all-electric, but the energy storage might be a fuel cell or a solid-state battery or something like that.

I think in America, especially in urban and dense suburban areas, we'll see hybrid mean a gas touring car and an electric city car, maybe a step up from the LUVly if they can convince the suburban soccer moms they do not need to be surrounded by 6,000 pounds of Chevy Suburban for picking kids up at school.

This revelation came to me when pricing AWD EVs, which are still all over $50,000 (the Tesla Model 3 is a little less now that it qualifies for tax credits again and Tesla slashed prices). The Ioniq 5 is a nice car. But I realized that I could buy BOTH a used Crosstrek with 40K miles AND new Bolt and still come in $20,000 cheaper than the Ionic 5.

I only travel long distance maybe a dozen days a year and I only have maybe 60 days per year when chain controls make an AWD vehicle much, much, much more appealing (typically AWD vehicles are not required to chain up, though it did happen two days ago when things got very icy). So roughly speaking, there are 290 days per year when the cheapo 3600-pound Bolt is just as good a vehicle to me as a luxurious, 4,662-pound Ioniq 5, and on those other 75 days, I just drive the cheapo 3100-pound Crosstrek.

The LUVly Gen 1 is still be impractical for me - it doesn't have enough range to get to the grocery store and back. But the general idea of a small, cheap, light, local car and another car for touring is attractive.

4
Water Cooler / Re: How America’s pickups are changing
« on: January 31, 2023, 04:29:09 PM »
>> sticks out in the road.

Even smaller trucks don't park well... which drives me a bit crazy when plowing. This is typical (and look how short that bed is)
https://photos.app.goo.gl/kd8USkVUEyTCyHwA9

6
Water Cooler / Re: How America’s pickups are changing
« on: January 30, 2023, 09:24:24 PM »
There were some recent-year models of F150 that had the dual cab AND a long bed ...those things are huge.

When our plow truck was in the shop, we had one of these to plow with. Turning it around on a dead end street was impossible. So you had to back down any deadend from the nearest intersection. Horrible truck.

8
>> Golf courses were given water budgets.

Driving through suburban Las Vegas, one encounters lots of Sun City developments with golf courses with artificial waterfalls.



Coachella: Why Golf Courses Continue to Thrive in the Desert
https://www.yahoo.com/now/why-desert-golf-courses-artificial-130044826.html

"Though its population is much smaller than the Las Vegas area, it gets more imported water."

Short version:
1. if you sink your own well deep enough, you're mostly allowed to do whatever you want with the water.
2. restrictions apply to potable water, not non-potable water brought in from the Colorado River via canals.

9
As I'm sure you know, the French plan to protest their way out of this problem.
https://www.voanews.com/a/france-s-pension-reform-plans-spark-protests-/6925818.html

As far as I can see, Americans plan to pretend it isn't happening, then admit with resignation that it is and is inevitable, then fall back to trying to make the kids pay for it, then when the kids decide they don't really want to do that, to yell, "Nobody wants to work these days" which seems to mean, "Dammit, I am losing my welfare payment that allows me to not work to support myself because these damn kids don't want to work to support me."

10
Water Cooler / Re: How America’s pickups are changing
« on: January 30, 2023, 04:56:47 PM »
Of course you still can get a short cab and a long bed. It's just that most people want a car that looks like a man's vehicle and can haul a family, not a car that can haul a load of plywood or drywall.

11
Hardware & Technology / Re: Orion browser features | Kagi Blog
« on: January 29, 2023, 03:48:45 AM »
>>Our vision is 100% Chrome and Firefox extension support by the time we exit beta.

That's huge. It's primarily certain extensions that are Chrome/Chromium-only that push me to keep Chrome on my machine (I've tried other Chromium browsers but have always abandoned them eventually).

12
A Fed economist says the Fed is making inequality worse with its interest rate hikes

Fortune, via https://stocks.apple.com/A5FPc2qYoRK6SBRtmwQQQWw

“Using mortgage application data, Ringo found that for a one-percentage-point rise in mortgage rates owing to Fed policy, home purchase loans to low- and moderate-income households drop by 7.5% almost “immediately.”

13
Hardware & Technology / Re: Don't bank online
« on: January 27, 2023, 05:11:20 PM »
That's a scary one given that, at least as reported by the victim, he seems to have taken basic precautions.

This brings me back to the method my neighbors use when traveling. They bring a debit card that they fund with just the amount they think they will need on the trip and use only that card. They may carry a backup card with their passport for emergencies, I don't know. The point being that the only card they pull out during a trip is one with a max downside of say $5000.

I think you could use a similar method on the phone - a bank account you use for depositing checks and so forth that has the app on the phone, and then you clear that account periodically into your main account.

The only practical way to deposit checks for me is on the phone. I could mail them in, but that worries me even more as there are so many fail points. My mother-in-law had two checks sent to one of her children get intercepted and cashed. We have almost no theft in our neighborhood, but we have had a couple mailbox breakins.

So other than moving to a place where in-person banking is still possible, what are the options?

15
Water Cooler / Re: Tell HN: Whole Yandex Git repository leaked
« on: January 26, 2023, 04:02:12 PM »
How much do you think Google or Mojeek can learn from this?

What would happen if the full google repo leaked? How much would another company with totally different hardware architecture be able to adapt and adopt?

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