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Messages - ergophobe

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3061
Hardware & Technology / Re: The changed future after CV-19
« on: April 22, 2020, 06:00:56 PM »
He knows how to make money with his businesses but also knows how to take care of others while doing it.

In one section he was ranting about how companies that have employees who collect government assistance are effectively taxpayer-subsidized companies engaging in a sort of socialism for the rich.

But he went the next step - he had all his companies do an audit to find out whether he had any employees on public assistance. To his chagrin, he found out they did have a small handful of such employees, usually due to some extenuating circumstance such as medical bills. They then set about developing programs to get those employees off public assistance and whole again.

3062
Hardware & Technology / Re: The changed future after CV-19
« on: April 22, 2020, 01:41:53 AM »
>> - why universities are f###ed

SAT and SAT prep courses too. Apparently a lot of schools that used to require the SAT are waiving the requirement for the time being. But if they find they get by fine without it, will the support it in the future? That whole industry is a ridiculous racket and I think universities are better off without it. It's just a handy shortcut, but probably leads to a worse student body.

3063
Hardware & Technology / Re: The changed future after CV-19
« on: April 21, 2020, 09:52:01 PM »
This could go in any number of threads, but this is as good as anywhere.

Quote
Mark Cuban: Capitalism must get kinder, Trump has done okay, and “universities are f###ed"
Investor, Dallas Mavericks owner, and Shark Tank co-host Mark Cuban talks with Recode's Kara Swisher about what capitalism and entrepreneurship looks like in a post-coronavirus world; whether he's planning to run for political office, and what his platform would be if he did; and what it will take for professional sports to come back. Cuban, who was recently announced as a member of President Trump's panel to re-open the economy, says the government hasn't done enough yet for small businesses and explains why "America 2.0" will require putting more money in the hands of workers — in good times and bad — and much more investment in technology. Plus: What companies would he create now if he were a young entrepreneur?
https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/vox/recode-decode/e/68963574
I have only ever listened to a few episodes of Recode/Decode (notably the Snowden interview, which was terrible actually). And I don't follow sports and I've never seen Shark Tank, so I have practically no idea who Mark Cuban is, other than having heard the name. Perhaps those of you more familiar with either one won't find this as interesting, but I thought this was a really good interview. It was done just before he was named to Trump's committee to examine reopening the economy.

I was super impressed actually. Again, I know little about him, but based on this interview, if he threw his hat in the ring for the 2020 presidency, I would vote for him tomorrow. One thing he talked about is how both current candidates are complete tech illiterates and how, he thinks, post corona, we are going to need tech-literate politicians or China will eat the US alive.

Other topics
 - what businesses he would start if he were a young kid starting from scratch (Alexa services, disinfection services)
 - what job he would look for if he were laid off ("anything in sales") and build his Alexa/disinfection business as a side hustle until it got going
 - why universities are f###ed (#1 because he doesn't think they'll reopen in the fall and #2 because if all they can offer is distance learning, they can't justify their absurd costs in the US)
 - how long he thinks it will be until the economy is humming again
    -- 3 years if everything goes really, really well
    -- 5 years as his over/under
    -- 10 years if this really goes to sh##
 - what this means to workers and unions and wages

Anyway, I'm like the interviewer - I wouldn't know off the top of my head what sport the Dallas Mavericks play if I weren't told and I couldn't have told you anything about Cuban. I've heard the name a lot and always filed him under the "celebrities to ignore" column. I was really impressed by this interview though. Well worth a listen.

Update...

This makes me like him less (hopefully he has learned something in the 14 years since this quote), but it also sounds like a certain president I know, so it's not a disqualifier:

Quote
In a June 30, 2006 interview, Mavericks player Dirk Nowitzki said about Cuban:[103]

Quote
He's got to learn how to control himself as well as the players do. We can't lose our temper all the time on the court or off the court, and I think he's got to learn that, too. He's got to improve in that area and not yell at the officials the whole game.

But this makes me think he would be an interesting guy to have in the White House.
Quote
In a nationally publicized incident in 2002, he criticized the league's manager of officials, Ed T. Rush, saying that he "wouldn't be able to manage a Dairy Queen." Dairy Queen management took offense to Cuban's comments and invited him to manage a Dairy Queen restaurant for a day. Cuban accepted the company's invitation and worked for a day at a Dairy Queen in Coppell, Texas, where fans lined up in the street to get a Blizzard from the owner of the Mavericks.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Cuban

3064
Water Cooler / Re: Covid Humor, the cynical thread
« on: April 21, 2020, 07:01:08 PM »
I don't think this has been posted here yet. It's actually not cynical. I might even say cute.

Julie from Four Months in the Future Visits Julie in Late 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ms7capx4Cb8

3065
Water Cooler / Re: Covid Humor, the cynical thread
« on: April 21, 2020, 06:59:13 PM »
https://old.reddit.com/r/funny/comments/g3y3cy/hitler_reacts_to_florida_beaches/

BTW, that's from a movie called Downfall in the English release. I believe that scene is from when the generals tell Hitler that Berlin is lost.

3066
Water Cooler / Re: The European Union Is Dead But Does Not Yet Know It
« on: April 20, 2020, 03:14:47 PM »
Honestly, I felt this way in the 1990s after the Soviet Union fell.

3067
Water Cooler / Re: That 100k projection...
« on: April 17, 2020, 08:10:38 PM »
>> social variables

Words fail me... I wonder if historians will eventually look back and see Covid as the final straw that put the United States on the path to becoming multiple separate countries.

3068
Water Cooler / Re: Fauci places a long bet
« on: April 17, 2020, 08:07:41 PM »
Great idea.

Quote
When asking companies to take on that risk, “You’ve got to give some back up to them,” he added. “And we’ve done that. We’ve put hundreds of millions of dollars into companies that try and make vaccines. I wouldn’t hesitate to do that for a moment now.”

If only he had a different boss.

3069
Water Cooler / Re: Proposals for Loosening the Lockdown
« on: April 16, 2020, 05:04:32 PM »
Liberal founder of Vox media interviews Scott Gottlieb, Trumps former FDA chief and one of the lead authors of the American Enterprise Institute report on how/when to reopen the economy. I have only listened to the first 15 minutes, but this is a good, in-depth (over one hour) discussion not the quick and superficial confrontational style that tends to play on evening news.

https://www.vox.com/2020/4/14/21219021/scott-gottlieb-coronavirus-covid-19-social-distancing-economy-recession

3070
Hardware & Technology / Re: The changed future after CV-19
« on: April 16, 2020, 04:58:58 PM »
I've been reading a bit fo Central Valley Ag news this morning.

Here's a syllogism for you
Major premise: The Department of Homeland Security has declared farmworkers essential and said they must continue to work
Minor premise: An estimated half of all farmworkers are undocumented immigrants

Conclusion? Does Covid change immigration policy? California farmers have been begging for change for a long time, but it doesn't play as well among non-farmers

3071
Monetization / Re: Amazon to affiliates: we don't need you anymore
« on: April 16, 2020, 12:59:53 AM »
>>This only affects Covid-19 related shopping categories

Furniture is Covid-related?

Anyway, I noticed that many categories are, but I am 99% sure this is a one-way change. I do not think it's never going back to the old rates.

3072
To be fair, the "wash over" approach is what they took in the UK at first and there are still well-respected public health thinkers who say that we could have done a very aggressive protection of high-risk people and let the virus wash over the low-risk population, hastening the arrival of herd immunity.

Fauci did say, back before he started being forced to lie to protect his job, that when shown the modelling for that approach, Trump immediately changed his mind.

Imagine, though, that the modelling had shown such an approach would actually result in fewer deaths, but nevertheless many deaths. It would actually be political disaster. Nobody would believe the modelling and would say more should have been done. Even if it had made public health sense, it would be politically disastrous.

The famous Stalin* quote comes to mind: "One death is a tragedy. A million deaths are a statistic."

*which was likely never said by Stalin and was certainly said earlier by others
https://quoteinvestigator.com/2010/05/21/death-statistic/

3073
Monetization / Re: Amazon to affiliates: we don't need you anymore
« on: April 15, 2020, 07:06:27 PM »
For many years, I've had the feeling that Amazon basically felt like they didn't need affiliates. As they become more and more of a default shopping choice, they generate their own traffic. And with Covid, I think they've shifted to lower margin products and more marketplace sales. So some cuts were inevitable.

Groceries are interesting. That change seems overdue. For a long time, Amazon said their problem was encouraging adoption. In that sense, inflated commission that may result in a loss on each sale makes sense. Now they are struggling to meet demand, so paying people to send them more traffic doesn't make sense.

>>big bump

Probably in MLM networks too. But that's desperation speaking, not opportunity. Affiliate applications are probably both. People who have no clue thinking they can close the income gap with affiliate sales, on the one hand, and on the other affiliate who know what they are doing but who see niches that are booming while their bread and butter niches may be flagging

3074
Traffic / Re: Google doesn't like escort agencies
« on: April 15, 2020, 07:02:58 PM »
And how's business for escort agencies these days?

On the one hand, you've got social distancing. On the other you have a clientele with much less concern for risk and social norms than most.

3075
Seemed like it was all Sanders and some #AidInDying group.

I filtered on Candidate Ad 2020 and scrolled and scrolled. Just Sanders as far as the fingers could scroll

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