Author Topic: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?  (Read 1461 times)

littleman

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Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« on: December 10, 2018, 08:11:42 PM »
If so, how far?

Also, how close did you end up sticking to your plan?

buckworks

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2018, 01:24:11 AM »
My big goals are months or even years out there, but the step-by-step actions that will get me there tend to have mental timelines of days or weeks.

When it comes to planning, I'm pretty good about deciding WHAT needs to be done and in what order. Alas, I'm not always so good about achieving the WHEN.

My biggest challenges are
  • estimating how long things will take,
  • getting back on track after interruptions and distractions,
  • getting back on track after interruptions and distractions, and
  • getting back on track after interruptions and distractions,

aaron

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2018, 08:01:47 AM »
With the web I always believe nothing has more than a 3-year lifespan to it. That forces one to have a good enough return (if things look to be going right!) to choose things that are not pipe dreams that will never pan out & it forces one to periodically re-evaluate strategies for how to improve on things which already exist.

Beyond that my general approach has been to primarily focus on working on one of the following 3 areas
  • things where the numbers (visitors? revenues? some other metric?) look to be moving in the right direction. by working on what is already working you are investing more in winners and keeping your mental health up, whereas if you invested heavily (time, emotion, capital) into something that was falling off a cliff then it is very easy to get burned out & get in some self-destructive loop.
  • things I like doing. also easier to not get burned out. and easier to learn new things & be able to perhaps find ways to quickly iterate improving things in areas you like/enjoy.
  • things I think I can do in a quick burst & then sort of forget until there is an idea that fits in one of the above categories. sort of like short bursts of pain & boredom to be followed by more enjoyable things.
I don't really make big plans, thus making it easier to shift things around as the web itself shifts.

I have to do lists, but unless something is urgent (e.g. server hacked, server down, software security update that if ignored will quickly lead to server hack, etc.) I don't really use specified "do by" dates on most things.

DrCool

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2018, 06:37:20 PM »
At my day job we definitely plan for the next year and have big picture plans 4-5 years down the road. The 4-5 years are super big picture stuff I don't have to worry about or think about. But we started in October projecting what the affiliate channel could do next year.

Every year we have our projections, or big projects, our goals, etc. but a month or two into the year those quickly start changing as new opportunities present themselves, affiliates we thought would grow just drop out of sight, internal changes affect our strategy and so on.

For my personal stuff I just throw a big overarching goal out there. This year it was to triple my affiliate income and I am on pace for that. One problem with that though is if I am hitting that goal I slack off and don't push for more. I had a plan on how I would get there (X blog posts a week, some social interaction plans, etc.) but those went out the window pretty early on. Whenever I get too specific with plans and goals I fail. I like to keep the planning fairly broad and vague to allow for modifications and changes.

littleman

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2018, 01:11:25 AM »
Thank you everyone for positing your thoughtful answers.  For the last year or so I just keep thinking about the next couple of steps to improve the situation from where it is currently at.  I definitely have a vision of where I'd like things to be in two years, but I don't have an outline of where I should be by which date. 

I'm more like "OK, that worked pretty well, how about we do that again and add some of this to evaluate?"  One flaw in this approach is that I spend a lot of times in the "what do I need to do today?"  mode instead of planning on what I need to have in place tomorrow.  For me, honestly, it is mostly a bandwidth thing, but I am making efforts to delegate the more simple and time consuming tasks to others so that I can start making more of a dent in the long term plan.

ergophobe

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2018, 07:01:40 PM »
In my personal life and business, I'm not much good at planning. My approach for most of my life as a researcher was to focus on a project and stick to it until it was done. It was simple and resulted in something like 7 books in 17 years and preliminary work for several more.

For those projects with a research team of three, we would collaboratively divide up work and plan the order of action and then regroup every few months to see where everyone was. We worked to a quality standard rather than a deadline.

I find few other things are so simple, so it is only with mixed success that I have applied a similar approach - pick a few things to focus on and work away at them. What I have found though is outside of the linear research world, I tend to do a lot of circle spinning. That is, I move onto something before finishing the thing I was doing.

I had set a goal of finishing another book this year (yes Bucky... I still plan on sending an ms to you and Marcel), but when I said I was going to block out a day a week, Theresa encouraged me to clear other projects off my plate first, and defer the book to 2019.

That was sensible and something I would have seen myself if I were more of a planner.

This has me thinking about spending some time picking my brother's brain about that this winter, since he is a bona fide expert in scheduling, estimate, planning and change management. We've talked about it a lot, but I've never asked him how he planned as an independent consultant (he's gone back and forth between corp and independent). I know he often says that something can't be planned on a calendar (R&D for example).

In my part-time day job, we spend a huge amount of time and energy on annual and long-range plans. It takes a huge amount of time, but as there's a couple of million dollars in marketing budget and some media buys have to be done way in advance, it's probably necessary. Sometimes it seems excessive and that we should spend less time planning and more time executing. And possibly more time thinking beyond our typical 18 month planning horizon (we sometimes do if we know there's a big change on the horizon, but typically not).

Basically, the process starts with a Year in Review.
 - what worked, what didn't from each person for their area
 - top successes culled from the above list
 - things that failed culled from the above list
 - which parts of plan from last year executed successfully, which didn't
 - general market trends that will affect the business
 - SWOT - strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats

That ends with a YIR document.

Then the actual planning starts. That's where the numbers people get into forecasting revenue and setting what the revenue plan is for each month and then backing out from there to see what the marketing plan is. Some periods of the year are long lead, some are short lead, so it's quite possible that the marketing materials for July will be needed in Jan, but the ones for April will be needed in March, for example. Or perhaps paid search will be high in a low-revenue month and low in a high-revenue month.

Then, finally, this spills into personal goal setting - a mini YIR look back on last year's goals and setting some focus areas for the coming year.

I try to avoid absolute number goals (e.g. revenue), since they are so subject to external factors. I try to set goals that are based on rate - conversion rate, click through rate, etc.

Lots of people get pressured to set revenue goals, which I think is absurd. I think it makes more sense to identify the contributors to revenue that you can actually control and focus on optimizing those. If, as happened this year, a fire closes you down for July and August, then obviously you are going to miss your revenue goals even if you did a great job on reaching customers. And we have something like that every year.

But if I focus on optimizing CTR in the SERPS, then it's more comparable YOY and so I try to look for goals like that which are less subject to the vagaries of the market.
« Last Edit: December 13, 2018, 07:08:22 PM by ergophobe »

littleman

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2018, 11:58:59 PM »
I found it pretty interesting how organization and task management is a very different affair when you are in a small group or on your own compared to the process you outlined in the larger organization.  It might be unfortunate luck in who I've worked for, but I've found that most of the plans I've seen from employers usually don't work as expected.

ergophobe

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Re: Business: Do YOU plan ahead?
« Reply #7 on: December 15, 2018, 04:41:11 AM »
I would say that we (meaning the company, not my personal stuff) do a decent job of following the plan, though events throw some things out of whack. For the overall year, though, we are usually fairly close on revenue and spend (at least by my reckoning, though it's really the next level up where people are on the chopping block for missing numbers).

When I mentioned that my brother is good at this... the short version - he took a job at a large, publicly traded medical software company and spent the first months learning the company, working on their business strategy and then drafting a quarterly plan. Three months later, everyone was telling him how great he was because they met their plan goals. He was confused. He thought that was the point of a plan. Then they explained that it was the first time in the 25-year history of the company that had happened. But he had come out of the construction industry and HP during the glory days, so he had mostly known tight ships.