Author Topic: Mayors & Governors, Presidents & Prime Ministers; Shelter in Place  (Read 93376 times)

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #90 on: June 26, 2020, 07:19:22 PM »
>it's bad

Yup.


Florida's cv19 graph goes hockey-stick.

https://boingboing.net/2020/06/26/florida-reports-a-massive-surg.html

ergophobe

  • Inner Core
  • Hero Member
  • *
  • Posts: 9280
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #91 on: June 26, 2020, 08:03:02 PM »
I wish they would report positivity rate. Reporting cases is like reporting the number of people caught for speeding or tax evasion. That one number just doesn't tell you enough to be informed.

One of my pet peeves is that journalists are generally terrible at statistics, which makes most statistics-based reporting terrible.

If you look at the surge in the context of the positivity rate, Florida looks terrifying

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/florida

My home state appears to be getting it right
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/vermont

If you look at CA, you see that it is setting highs for new cases, but the positivity rate isn't changing much.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/california

So though both CA and FL are setting records, CA is looking way better than FL and way worse than VT

New York's performance looks amazing
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/new-york

littleman

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6546
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #92 on: June 26, 2020, 08:24:05 PM »
>positivity rate

This site does if you drill into the state stats -- the blue beaker icon next the state in the table as you scroll down.
https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en
https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/test?state=CA

ergophobe

  • Inner Core
  • Hero Member
  • *
  • Posts: 9280
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #93 on: June 26, 2020, 09:43:01 PM »
All the links I posted show state-level data for
 - tests
 - positives
 - positivity rate

Check out the graph for Florida. Not good. I'm actually surprised that CA is holding steady.

But there you go - it probably took us each less than five minutes to find that data, and yet most articles don't mention it because
1. Most journalists really don't understand statistics *at* *all*
2. They are on deadline and it is mostly a volume industry, not an insight industry

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #94 on: June 26, 2020, 11:09:14 PM »
>Florida. Not good. I'm actually surprised that CA is holding steady.

North Carolina PR is around 8%, not horrific. 

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #95 on: July 03, 2020, 11:24:23 PM »
1 in 4 Houston Residents Testing Positive for COVID-19 Amid Texas Outbreak
https://www.newsweek.com/1-4-houston-residents-testing-positive-covid-19-amid-texas-outbreak-1515349

littleman

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6546
    • View Profile

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #97 on: July 07, 2020, 07:15:44 PM »
NC isn't doing great, cases & hospitalizations are creeping up --but at least case increases aren't exponential.  Daily deaths are declining over this past week.  When compared to the Southern states around us, we look fantastic.

https://covidtracking.com/data/state/north-carolina/#historical

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #99 on: July 12, 2020, 04:33:13 PM »
Gov. DeSantis is Florida Man

Florida reports more than 15,000 new cases, shattering record
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/12/florida-reports-more-than-15000-new-coronavirus-cases-shattering-record.html

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #100 on: July 13, 2020, 07:59:40 PM »

littleman

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6546
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #101 on: July 14, 2020, 12:30:22 AM »
Gyms are still open in my county, I don't understand the thinking there.

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #102 on: July 14, 2020, 01:31:46 AM »
>gyms

California shuts bars, indoor dining and most gyms, churches – Orange County Register
https://www.ocregister.com/2020/07/13/california-shuts-bars-indoor-dining-and-most-gyms-churches/

littleman

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6546
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #103 on: July 14, 2020, 02:02:38 AM »
So, it is interesting, my county is doing better than most -- probably due to more mask wearing and a higher average education than the rest of the state, but some here think allowed means safe.  I  did a drive-by of my gym and there are people in there huffing and puffing away on the treadmills.  On the way to a mailbox today there were a group of 20 young maskless Mormons in close proximity to each other while filing their way into their ward.

rcjordan

  • I'm consulting the authorities on the subject
  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 16313
  • Debbie says...
    • View Profile
Re: Mayors & Governors: Shelter in Place
« Reply #104 on: July 14, 2020, 02:44:01 PM »
Texas hospitals are running out of drugs, beds, ventilators and even staff | The Texas Tribune
https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/14/texas-hospitals-coronavirus/