We had golf ball sized hail just south of here. Lightening like I've never seen, tornado sirens went off twice yesterday. And, 30 miles away, they had softball sized hail.
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=337238224453214&set=a.268765377967166
Trying to post an image of the hail, but can't...*sighs*
Somewhere in Texas had grapefruit-size hail about 10 days ago.
And we've had hurricane Ana already and it is not yet hurricane season.
Feels like fire weather here. Just a matter of time.
The were supposed to do a 3-day, 487-acre burn and they only did one day. Just guessing, but since they had to get a helicopter to do some water drops and the thing blew up pretty fast, I think they decided it's already too dry for prescribed burns.
And, not an hour after I posted that, I got my first text alert of the season...
QuoteLIVE OAK FIRE
Live Oak Rd in the Yaqui Gulch area .
Sheriff and Fire units are responding to the area. Please watch for responding traffic and avoid the area.
ROAD CLOSURES-
Yaqui Gulch Rd from Hwy 140- Old Hwy
2:44pm- No evacuations requested at this time.
http://www-dev.alertwildfire.org/sierra/index.html?camera=Axis-Bullion&v=7a7f1c3
The link is a live cam and looking at the terrain, the size of the fire already, and the current conditions, this doesn't look good for those folks
http://www-dev.alertwildfire.org/sierra/index.html?camera=Axis-Bullion&v=7a7f1c3
For us, we might get smoke, but there is 100,000 acres between that fire and us that burned in 2018, so it's not coming here. But the clouds of smoke might.
My sister Erica had it with last summer's fire season. She didn't have air conditioning and spent 3 months in her house sweltering since she couldn't open windows.
She sold the house and is in the process of moving to Massachusetts.
I'm in the process of upgrading my hurricane insurance for the St Croix properties.
The same wavy upper-level pattern that's poised to bring excessive heat to the western United States next week allowed an upper-level low to meander around the eastern part of the country this weekend.
A Clammy Memorial Day Weekend Brings Far Below-Normal Temps To The East Coast
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dennismersereau/2021/05/30/a-clammy-memorial-day-weekend-brings-far-below-normal-temps-to-the-east-coast/
UK weather: Hottest day of the year recorded for third day in a row
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/uk-weather-hottest-day-of-the-year-recorded-for-third-day-in-a-row/
The record high for June 2 here in Spokane is 92 degrees set back in 1937 and the forecast for today is 95. Temps in the 90s in June is pretty rare here. Those usually don't hit until mid-July through August.
50 million Americans under excessive heat warnings
https://theweek.com/us/1001534/50-million-americans-under-excessive-heat-warnings
>Spokane
Heat wave will bake Oregon, Washington and Idaho in desert-like temperatures - CNN
All-time record triple digit heat forecast for many people that don't have AC
https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/24/weather/heat-wave-oregon-washington-idaho/index.html
>Spokane
We usually get one day over 100 here in Spokane. Right now we are on day 3 of 9 in a row that are projected to be over 100 and it is still June. The all time record is 108 set back in 1928 and we have 3 days (today, tomorrow, and Wednesday) all forecast to beat that. 109 today, 112 tomorrow, and 110 Wednesday.
Seattle is projected to hit 105 today and that is absolutely insane for over there. They are usually looking at 75 degrees this time of year. On this side of the state most houses built in the last 30-40 years have air conditioning. Over there it is rarely needed so most houses don't have it.
Yesterday a town in BC had the highest temperature ever recorded in all of Canada. Ugh.
https://globalnews.ca/news/7984731/bc-temperature-records-heat-wave/
Pacific Northwest Heat Wave Is Buckling Roads And Melting Power Cables
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/pacific-northwest-heat-wave-roads_n_60da357ce4b085480fe39872
Quote from: buckworks on June 28, 2021, 07:12:53 PM
Yesterday a town in BC had the highest temperature ever recorded in all of Canada. Ugh.
I saw something the other day that said that if you were born after 1964, you've never experienced a month where the temperature across the whole planet was "above average" (usually that means something like a 30-year trailing average).
>Canada
Wow, that town is much further north than I thought it would be. Figured it would be down near the border.
The power company said "our equipment reached its limit much faster than we expected" today and started some rolling blackouts.
>>Figured it would be down near the border.
When I lived in Alaska, I drove through Tok a couple times in the summer and once it was in the 90sF - inland and dry, it can get hot in the summer. The highest temperature ever recorded in Alaska is way north in Fort Yukon (100F in 1915).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Yukon,_Alaska#Climate
[udpate: look at the two temperature charts for Fort Yukon and note how the mean maximum temp has increased between the 1915-1990 and 1991-2020 charts]
Dozens of Sudden Deaths Reported as Canada Heat Hits a Record 121 Degrees
https://truthout.org/articles/dozens-of-sudden-deaths-reported-as-canada-heat-hits-a-record-121-degrees/
Record heat believed to have contributed to at least 233 sudden deaths in British Columbia since Friday, officials say.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/6/30/never-seen-anything-like-this-100s-dead-amid-canada-heat-wave
That kind of heat in Canada is downright distopian.
Lytton, the British Columbia Town That Set Heatwave Record, Is Now on Fire
https://www.thedailybeast.com/lytton-the-british-columbia-town-that-set-heat-wave-record-is-now-on-fire
Wow. It's going to be a long summer.
We've been getting thunderstorms the last few days in the high country. It's setting off fires up there, as usual, and that's fine - that terrain has centuries of lightning strike fires and little fire suppression, so the fires just smolder for months without major impact. But if those thunderstorms drop 4,000 feet in elevation, things will get dire very fast.
We are on our 5th named Atlantic storm and it's not July 4th yet.
I think we are at 15 straight days in the 90s so far and 14 day forecast shows the next two weeks in the 90s. The previous record here was I believe 13 straight days.
You're going to have to change your nickname.
>nick
hhh
Pacific Northwest heat wave continues this week with no end in sight - CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/06/weather/pacific-northwest-heat-wave/index.html
It's been unusually cool here in Kansas: we are still in wheat harvest which is usually done before July 4th. We've had a lovely summer for the most part, but we will get into 100s this friday.
It's been unusually cool here along the NC coast, too, beginning in April. So far, we've only had about a half-dozen 90-90+ degree days. That pretty cool for a season that's known on /r as "Hell's Back Porch." July-August is Hell's Front Porch, so we'll see if the more temperate weather holds.
>wheat
They got the wheat out here before the 4th. Fields around us have been burning for weeks.
>usually done before July 4th
My mom used to say that you were considered to be a bad farmer if you didn't get your potatoes harvested by the 4th. I haven't seen much digging going on, though.
Lapland records hottest day for more than a century as heatwave grips Nordic countries
https://news.sky.com/story/lapland-records-hottest-day-for-more-than-a-century-as-heatwave-grips-nordic-countries-12350722
+
under 2 weeks time lapse
Mt. Rainiers snow loss from last months heat wave. Washington state.
https://imgur.com/YNahe0G
>Mt. Rainier
They were seeing 70s and 80s up on the mountain a week or so ago. Crazy temps at that elevation.
"On Friday (local time), Death Valley National Park in California recorded a staggering high of 130F (54C) and could reach the same high on Saturday"
US heatwave: Death Valley records highest temperature on Earth in 100 years
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-heatwave-death-valley-records-highest-temperature-on-earth-in-100-years/3PUZZL37NCXP7A6Q6CUUYJ4VFU/
I keep telling people that global warming will be considerably more of an issue than sea waters gently lapping beachfront properties.
More than 100 dead in floods across Germany and Belgium as rescue efforts continue - The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/07/16/europe-flooding-deaths-germany-belgium/
>>floods
Some interesting charts and before/after photos with a slider feature
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-57862894
The UK's First Ever 'Extreme Heat Alert' Issued By The Met Office
https://www.unilad.co.uk/news/the-uks-first-ever-extreme-heat-alert-issued-by-the-met-office/
I'm 18 miles inland from the Atlantic Ocean and we now have a code Orange air quality alert due to the fires 3000 miles away on the west coast. Everything is blue-grey hazy.
and for once, our air quality is good.
we'll see how long that lasts, but these are not "west coast" fires so much as inland fires over the mountains, so they aren't hitting the West Coast
Our skies are [sort of] clear at the moment, but we've had many days of smoke. Some days visibility was so poor that I did not feel safe on the highway driving at normal speeds.
First Germany, then Hungary, then China, and now London is flooding.
https://old.reddit.com/r/CatastrophicFailure/comments/orgb03/first_germany_then_hungary_then_china_and_now/
Rare Snowfall in Tropical Brazil
https://gizmodo.com/6-surreal-images-showing-rare-snowfall-in-tropical-braz-1847394247
Blaze sweeps through Athens suburbs in fifth day of Greece wildfires - CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/07/europe/greece-southern-europe-wildfires-heatwave-intl/index.html
Europe has just witnessed its highest temperature in recorded history. +48.8°C 119.8F at Siracusa, Sicily
https://old.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/p2exkr/ouch_europe_has_just_witnessed_its_highest/
The Great Western Drought Explained
https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/great-western-drought-explained
The idea that this is the beginning of a drought similar to the one 1000 years ago is sobering... especially since that drought lasted 400 years and had period of intense drought lasting 50 years (as much as 80% drop in precip).
July was hottest month ever recorded on Earth, US data shows
https://news.sky.com/story/july-was-hottest-month-ever-recorded-on-earth-us-data-shows-12380657
> 1000 years
That was a very good article. Thanks for posting it ergo. It sounds like, even if we do everything right with water conservation in the West, a lot of people are going to take a huge hit right on the chin. My take is that there are too many people all trying to survive on the same rapidly diminishing water supply. Something is going to give. There is no way to conserve our way out of it. If I was in the US West I'd be looking to sell and move before property values plummet.
>I'd be looking to sell and move before property values plummet.
The climate shift was really THE top reason we sold the strip at the beach. Right now, the coastal regions are in a state of denial but I'm seeing more & more real estate articles pushing buyers to begin factoring in the risks.
>>If I was in the US West I'd be looking to sell and move before property values plummet
This is on our minds all the time. We want to stay here as long as we're fit enough to climb, hike, trail run, but we do wonder whether the water supply in the West will give out before our bodies do.
> but we do wonder whether the water supply in the West will give out before our bodies do.
> Right now, the coastal regions are in a state of denial
Denial is the key. It's easy to say, "by the time this becomes a problem, I'll be dead," but the parade of horribles from climate change is moving faster than we anticipated and my guess is they will effect the West and the Coasts first. Now might be the time to explore the mountains of the N. East, before before the land rush.
"6 inches (of rain) in the past two days ...our average rainfall for a year in El Paso is about 8.5 inches,"
'Unprecedented' flooding in El Paso - ABC News
https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/unprecedented-flooding-el-paso-leaves-woman-dead-79459669
+
At least 44 killed by severe flooding and mudslides in Turkey
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/least-44-killed-severe-flooding-mudslides-turkey-n1276829
>>mountains of the N. East, before before the land rush.
Moving back to Vermont has been discussed.
"Spain set a new provisional heat record of 47.2 degrees Celsius (116.96 Fahrenheit) on Saturday as Southern Europe sweltered under a relentless summer sun. Italy put 16 cities on red alert for health risks and Portugal warned 75% of its regions that they faced a "significantly increased risk" of wildfires."
High heat: Spain clocks prelim record of 47.2 C (116.96 F)
https://www.kentucky.com/news/health-and-medicine/article253491414.html#storylink=mainstage
Tracking now shows Henri coming ashore on Long Island as a Cat 1 hurricane. AFAIK, LI ain't had a hurricane in forever.
https://vortex.plymouth.edu/tropical/AL/2021/08/track.png
+
>wild weather
New England braces for 1st hurricane in 30 years
https://www.usatoday.com/videos/news/nation/2021/08/20/new-england-braces-1st-hurricane-30-years/8217961002/
>wild
"The chance of getting over 17 inches of rain in 24 hours in any year at Waverly, TN is much more rare than 1 in 1,000," He said that amount of rain is so rare that NOAA doesn't have sufficient historical data to quantify it any further.
A subtle weather pattern unleashed historic floods in Middle Tennessee - The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/08/23/tennessee-historic-flooding-explainer/
We are in the middle of a typical winter storm here in Cape Town (hammering rain, wind and big seas - hence the Cape of Storms) - but this particular storm has sucked cold air from the Antarctic across the south Atlantic and is due to dump a lot of snow over the southern Cape, Lesotho and as far north as Johannesburg which is not unheard of but still pretty rare!
Don't rent basement apartments in NYC. Or take the subway.
Ida's Historic Northeast Flooding, Tornadoes Kill at Least 18 in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Maryland
https://weather.com/news/news/2021-09-02-at-least-14-killed-in-new-york-and-new-jersey-3-in-pennsylvania-as-historic
>>basement
:-) Good advice. Even without flooding
New York City Wasn't Built for 21st Century Storms | WIRED
https://www.wired.com/story/21st-century-storms-overwhelming-20th-century-cities/
+
New York City's illegally converted apartments proved deadly in Ida's path - CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/03/us/new-york-city-flooding-illegal-basement-apartments/index.html
Back-to-back Hurricanes Forecast to Double on U.S. Gulf Coast
https://ens-newswire.com/back-to-back-hurricanes-forecast-to-double-on-u-s-gulf-coast/
Devastating rains in southwest British Columbia:
https://globalnews.ca/news/8379037/bc-floods-aerial-photos-videos-devastation/
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bc-floods-rail-impact-1.6250554
Atmospheric river soaks Seattle, gives Vancouver up to 10 inches of rain - The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/11/15/atmospheric-river-seattle-vancouver-flooding/
I saw the "GET OUT NOW!! DO NOT TRY TO SAVE LIVESTOCK!" warning go out for the Sumas Prairie.
Catastrophic flood warning issued for Sumas Prairie as pump system set to fail | Vancouver Sun
https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/breaking-news-catastrophic-flood-warning-issued-as-pump-failure-leads-to-fraser-river-flooding
Re: The wild weather has started. This summer winter will be crazy.
Not sure exactly the source, but a friend just read off a NOAA alert for the Sierra Nevada. The 15-day forecast is showing snowfall amounts of up to 184 inches in Mammoth and 48 inches all the way down to Reno. Yes. Mammoth might get 15 feet of snow between now and Christmas.
This comes after the third driest year ever recorded in California.
We'll probably get about 2 feet on Monday/Tuesday here with snow forecast a chance of precipitation almost every day in the long-range forecast
>15 feet of snow
Wow!
We'll see if it happens. Snowfalls in Mammoth are legendary and they did get that much in a week back in 2017. Usually NOAA estimates high just to keep people from doing stupid things.
Mammoth is only 40 miles away and just slightly higher than us, but in between the peaks rise up an additional 7000 feet or so and Mammoth is tucked under the east side of those peaks. So there's a strange vortex there. I'm not sure I have this right, but apparently the compression going over the mountains creates a Venturi effect and when the air gets past that, there's a pressure drop, which means both that temperatures fall and the air can hold less moisture. So it gets dumped in huge amounts on Mammoth Mountain and Mammoth Lakes. And then about 15 miles further east, you're in one of the most arid regions in the country and snowfall totals will likely be less than a foot.
I'm hoping that here we just get two feet, then a break, then more snow in the next wave. Up to about 2 is usually not very disruptive. If we have a few days to clean up we can get a few of those in relatively quick succession with big issues. But a single storm of four feet is a problem. Once we get over 3 feet, things start to shut down and chaos ensues. One Christmas we got two feet, then five days later two feet, then five days later four feet... that was a backbreaker.
Christmas tornadoes.
Dozens are feared dead as tornadoes hit Midwestern and Southern U.S. : NPR
https://www.npr.org/2021/12/11/1063335433/dozens-are-feared-dead-as-tornadoes-hit-midwestern-and-southern-u-s
It's going to reach 75f24c here today. Crazy.
'Really abnormal' storms and tornadoes tear through Great Plains and midwest | Iowa | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/dec/16/great-plains-storms-tornadoes-tear-through-midwest
>>We'll see if it happens
Storm came in a lot warmer than forecast, which meant early rain and denser snow, so we only got two feet. That's a good amount - gets some moisture in the snowpack and doesn't cause total chaos (four feet generally causes chaos)
Lake Tahoe shatters 50-year December snowfall record with more than 16 feet of snow
>>16 feet of snow
Two of my bosses have houses up in the Tahoe area and have been posting pictures of some of the snowfalls. Very impressive. And they are both big time skiers so they are loving it.
My friend who lives there says she is "over it." She teaches skiing at Northstar. It's 15 mins from her house. It's taking her 3 hours to get home every day.
We only have 3-4 feet at the house. We were skiing up at 8000 feet during the middle storm and it was raining up there. If it had been a few degrees colder, we'd be socked in like Tahoe.
>crazy
It has been 65-70f (20 over normal) here for about 5 days now and forecast to remain that way for another week. It's been long enough that locals are breaking out their boats and hitting the water.
>> Tahoe
https://weather.com/storms/winter/video/more-than-100-of-snow-in-ca-skiers-travelers-stranded
Dispatch from a friend: It's getting bad here. No gasoline. Not much food. Even Reno has food issues
>Mammoth Mountain
Howitzer, 105mm artillery gun, used by ski patrol to clear avalanche hazards
https://old.reddit.com/r/specializedtools/comments/rs3edu/howitzer_105mm_artillery_gun_used_by_ski_patrol/
That's gotta be fun. A friend was a certified blaster on ski patrol. Similar thing, but they work from the top and essentially toss sticks of dynamite on a tether. If they don't get detonation, there's some protocol for getting it back without killing someone.