Print Page - The more someone fears an outcome, the less likely they think it is to happen

Title: The more someone fears an outcome, the less likely they think it is to happen
Post by: rcjordan on November 03, 2017, 02:01:57 AM

^{That old core thread about the possibility (preposterous!!) of a housing crash keeps coming to mind. We NAILED it, but chose to dismiss it.}

QuotePeople may think their odds are better than average because they don't know what the average really is.

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2017/11/humans-are-bad-at-predicting-futures-that-dont-benefit-them/544709/

Title: Re: The more someone fears an outcome, the less likely they think it is to happen
Post by: ergophobe on November 04, 2017, 05:22:06 PM

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!"
-- Upton Sinclair

The Core

Why We Are Here => Water Cooler => Topic started by: rcjordan on November 03, 2017, 02:01:57 AM