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Messages - ergophobe

#1
Karl Bushby is back and England walking back to his hometown and starting point. He circumnavigated the globe, including walking across the Bering Strait on ice and swimming the Caspian sea because both routes around it were closed to him.

He did use transport in at least one instance - he couldn't get a long-term visa in Russia and had to leave every 90 days and go back to where he left off.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karl_Bushby
#2
Not 20,000 cycles, but 20,000 cycles at 100% depth of discharge. That's a big deal. Lithium batteries offer 10,000 cycles at 80% DOD. If you push them to 100% DOD they are typically guaranteed for half or so.

What that means is that in general, you only use 80% of a battery. If you charge it like Tesla recommends, you only use 60% of the capacity (i.e. you try to keep it between 20% and 80%).

But let's say you use 80%. That means that if it's 25% more expensive, that's still a breakeven on a sodium battery right away, not even counting the long-term savings of get 2X as many cycles.

For perspective: 20,000 cycles, assuming you charge every day and discharge every night (or vice-versa if grid-tied) means that it has an expected lifespan of 55 years.
#3
Water Cooler / Re: 2026 oct 08
Today at 05:58:10 PM
> Warrant Targeting Keyword Search Data

Like DNA evidence, people don't realize how "fishing expedition" uses of forensic evidence has lead to the conviction of many innocent people. It is not as simple as, "If you're innocent, you have nothing to hide."

And because most lawyers, judges and juries have a poor understanding of basic probability theory they often get this wrong.

Worthwhile read: Calculated Risks, by Gerd Gigerenzer. It is mostly about understanding medical tests, but touches on bad forensics too
#4
> headlines

I think that's the nub of it. Child mortality that falls 4% per year, year in, year out, never makes a headline. A famine or a war or whatever, makes persistent headlines.

But I think it's like when I would meet Europeans who would tell me they would never go to the US because it's too dangerous. Back in the 1980s, French people had a particular hangup about Chicago. They seemed to think that Al Capone still ran the place
#5
Water Cooler / Re: Companies lie
October 06, 2026, 11:36:22 PM
If you prefer dark chocolate to milk chocolate and good peanut butter to Skippy, Justin's dark chocolate PB cups are a big upgrade.


https://www.justins.com/products/super-dark-espresso-almond-butter-cups/
#6
Not my favorite but it has wide adoption so if you want all the writing tools of Docs like spelling and grammar correction, it's nice to have that and then export something clean to a CMS that can handle MD, which most do with an add-on

OTOH if you want to compose in a simple text editor distraction free and import to have the tools, you can put formatting in on the fly.

Fundamentally I'm lazy and prefer WYSIWYG.

But I did for a while compose in Docs and export MD and then import that into WP as my standard workflow because that allowed me to keep basic markup without importing all manner of junk formatting



#7
Water Cooler / Child mortality has fallen everywhere
October 06, 2026, 08:26:41 PM
https://ourworldindata.org/data-insights/child-mortality-has-declined-in-all-world-regions

Of note - child mortality (under 5) across Latin America is now less than half what it was in the US in 1950. Africa which was 10x the US rate in 1950 is still 10x the US rate, but that is only 2.3% more (6.1 vs 3.8) than where we were in 1950. And I suspect that, if you exempted a few strife-riven regions of African, it would be a much better number

Have you updated your vision of Africa accordingly? This is always hard for usas we get older. Despite being a fan of Hans Rosling, I'm always a bit brought up against the fact that my view of the world is still influenced by the world that existed when I was a child.
#8
"  In addition, members of ArtCraft commented to the social news site Hacker News that they are also planning to develop tools equivalent to Microsoft Office, AutoCAD, and Solidworks."

https://gigazine.net/gsc_news/en/20261005-artcraft-crafting-apps/#gsc.tab=0

Don't poke the bear. Poke the bear, the lion and the velociraptor.

Debbie says, download your Artcraft studio while you can.

Debbie also says that in a few years, replicating the Artcraft effort will be a simple matter of a few good prompts and a few days of tweaking, but few people will bother because it will feel in 2030 like a good HTML editor feels today - a thing for which there is almost no market because nobody wants to get their hands that dirty
#9
Ironically, their revenue model is... wait for it...


SUBSCRIPTION!!

Of course it is. But the software is free. You pay for the AI capabilities. Which makes sense since those have real ongoing costs.  But it's still ironic
#10
I clicked through to their website which I didn't previously notice. Their pitch

"Stop renting from websites.
ArtCraft is yours to own and keep, forever. No subscriptions needed, no aggregator middleman, no rent payments."

https://getartcraft.com/

Napster was a CD killer for people who didn't want to buy music. This is more like a Spotify killer.

I've tried Adobe alternatives. All disappointing (though several good enough that I haven't paid for an Adobe products in many years).

Adobe is rapidly adapting to become a chat-based interface.  The race is on for Adobe to figure out some way to add value.
#11
Web Development / Software is entering the Napster era
October 06, 2026, 07:48:55 PM
I've seen this term a few times lately. Napster briefly made all copyrighted music available for free.

This person (group?) is making feature-equivalent "clean room" versions of Adobe products in Rust.

https://github.com/storytold
#12
Hardware & Technology / New Teslas will power your home
October 06, 2026, 05:51:40 PM
We've talked about this. Round trip power from homes to EVs and back is huge for electrification. Formerly just on the cyber truck, now model 3 and model y offer it

https://electrek.co/2026/10/06/tesla-powershare-home-backup-model-3-model-y-powerwall-3/

It will also make the case for noisy polluting generators harder and harder to make.
#13
Hardware & Technology / Markdown comes to Google Docs
October 06, 2026, 05:48:30 PM
I always did this with a plug-in that semi-decently rendered MD from a Google doc, but i couldn't go round trip.

Now it looks like MD support will be built in

https://www.ghacks.net/2026/10/06/google-docs-adds-native-markdown-file-editing-with-rendered-md-previews-in-google-drive/
#14
Water Cooler / Loki the Sea Cucumber
October 06, 2026, 05:45:16 PM
And 56 other species discovered in just two weeks of exploration at 2000m below the Atlantic surface.

Cool photos

https://petapixel.com/2026/10/06/scientists-discovered-57-species-in-a-south-atlantic-submarine-canyon/
#15
Water Cooler / Re: Companies lie
October 06, 2026, 05:35:20 PM
QuoteOn Monday, the menu on Starbucks' U.S. website listed a 16-ounce (0.5-liter) Sugar-Free Caramel Protein Matcha with 16 grams of sugar and a 20-ounce (0.6-liter) version of the same drink with 21 grams of sugar. By comparison, one Reese's cup has 11 grams of sugar.


https://apnews.com/article/starbucks-sugar-free-protein-drinks-coffee-beverages-9c1c76cc3d5dc712f76a8bfbd4493459