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No Dog

Started by rcjordan, March 31, 2025, 08:01:58 PM

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rcjordan


rcjordan

The factory of the future will have only two employees, a man and a dog. The man will be there to feed the dog. The dog will be there to keep the man from touching the equipment.

https://quoteinvestigator.com/2022/01/30/future-factory/

rcjordan


ergophobe

I wondered what that post had to do with this thread until I looked at the image.

Related to that article, but not this thread :-)

> conversion efficiency of 33.84%.

That is already past the Shockley-Quiesser Limit for a single p-n junction solar cell. In other words, that is already past the theoretical max conversion of solar energy to electricity in a single-layer construction.

Multi-layer construction brings the theoretical limit to 68.7%, so these new cells are already capturing 50% of the possible energy to capture. It's not that long ago (1992 patent, 1985 lab demo) that they surpassed 20% efficiency (or roughly 29% of the theoretical max)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shockley%E2%80%93Queisser_limit
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar-cell_efficiency
https://sites.lafayette.edu/egrs352-sp14-pv/technology/history-of-pv-technology/

Now, you were saying something about dogs and automation?  ;)

ergophobe

From Morgan Housel's latest blog post (my emphasis):

QuoteI wrote this 10 years ago, I had to go fish this up from an old article that I wrote is about a US steel factory in Gary, Indiana. In 1950, this individual factory produced 6 million tons of steel with 30,000 workers. In 2010 it produced seven and a half million tons of steel with 5,000 workers. So during this period, they increased the amount of steel that they were making, and they did it with 25,000 fewer workers. They went from 30,000 workers to 5,000. That story, I think, can be repeated across virtually everything that is made in the United States and around the world over the last 50 years.

Very interesting thing that I read the other day: China, the manufacturing powerhouse of the globe, has fewer manufacturing workers today than they did 10 years ago. They're making more stuff than ever before. They're building factories faster than ever before, and they have fewer people working in those factories

Yes, CHINA has fewer manufacturing jobs than it did 10 years ago.

https://collabfund.com/blog/my-thoughts-on-tariffs-economic-history-and-the-market-decline/