The Core

Imitation learning... how long until humans can't compete?
https://www.futurity.org/robot-surgery-video-training-3257652-2

I have a germ of a thought running through my head. Many formulations, but it goes like this: "If you're job security is based on skill, you have no job security."

Or, "If you think your skill protects you from automation, you don't understand automation."

Or ?

I haven't hit on the formulation that I like, but there are a lot of people who tell me their jobs are secure because, "An AI will never be able to do this" (strangely, physicians commonly believe this, but so do truck drivers). They then go on to cite obvious AI fails.

>> Not Compete

I think in the short term physician jobs will be saved by a combination of
 - lack of trust and people who believe, contrary to all evidence, that "the human touch" matters in diagnosis (I have had someone use those exact words with me explaining why they do not want a machine-based diagnosis).
 - regulatory capture

But at the same time, I think there will be a shortage of all healthcare specialties and so the AMA may not resist *that* hard. Roughly half of physicians report feeling overwhelmed or burned out. https://www.ama-assn.org/practice-management/physician-health/physician-burnout-rate-drops-below-50-first-time-4-years

https://qz.com/nyu-langone-robot-lung-transplant-1851704964

The first fully robotic double-lung transplant just happened - here's all the details
The procedure took place in October at NYU Langone Health in New York City