Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.


Topics - ergophobe

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 39
1
Water Cooler / Official stat: 1 in 4 Brits are delusional
« on: August 12, 2024, 07:38:46 PM »
Debbie says this number would be higher in the US

In the news category, "1 in 4 people are crazy," a survey in the UK found that 1 in 4 Britons think they could qualify for the 2028 Olympics if they just trained for four years. https://yougov.co.uk/sport/articles/50301-a-quarter-of-britons-think-they-could-qualify-for-the-2028-olympics

Note that this includes 15% of people 65+

1 in 17 people think they could make the Olympics in the 100m sprint.

2
Water Cooler / The Olympics on NBC
« on: August 08, 2024, 07:01:06 PM »
Our 16yo houseguest wanted to watch the Olympics so we got a PeacockTV subscription.

NBC apparently doesn't know that streaming is different from broadcast and they want to make it as close to broadcast as possible. And that means
 - don't tell you which events are on a program
 - don't tell you where in the program the events will happen
 - make it impossible to fast-forward to the event you want without a) watching all the ads and b) showing you a thumbnail preview like YouTube does so you know where to stop.

That last one is important. If you FF past an ad and then stop to see where you are, you must watch an ad before you see any content. Then you FF again because you're still in the wrong place and you see another ad.

So the result is that it is way worse than broadcast in that most people watching via broadcast would be on a DVR and there you DO get a preview as you FF and you do NOT get forced to watch ads.

But NBC needs to make money, right? And they bought the rights, so that's how it is. You have to watch the ads, right?

Actually, no. They post events to YouTube for FREE. So I just wanted to watch the Men's 1500m final and couldn't find it on the NBC site by either scrolling or searching. So I did a Google search, which took me straight to the full event posted with no ads for free on YouTube.

I've seen this with other events. Only very long events like say gymnastics or pole vault where competitors compete one at a time really require a subscription.

So here I sit with a paid PeacockTV subscription for the sole purpose of watching the Olympics, and we're watching it for free on YouTube, courtesy of Peacock.

Someone has seriously messed up their strategy. If I had an ear at NBC, I would say
 - teasers on YouTube
 - long-form coverage on Peacock
 - single event coverage on Peacock in a format that was searchable

This seems pretty obvious for anyone looking to maximize revenue and minimize churn (and general WTF dismay).

4
Marketing / The Nike Debacle and its lessons
« on: July 29, 2024, 08:24:42 PM »
This is worth a read
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nike-epic-saga-value-destruction-massimo-giunco-llplf/

We used to always debate: why not just buy brand terms since the ROAS is so high? And the answer was always the same: because people typing in brand terms are already looking for us and we can't survive forever just on people who are already looking for us. You have to BUILD the brand before people start SEARCHING on the brand.

TL;DR: on an abstract level, Nike focused on performance metrics at the expense brand building and Nike also found out that customers aren't 100% elastic. You can't just decide to move them to another channel and watch them move.

From a hospitality perspective, it was like Marriott deciding that they wouldn't use Expedia, Booking.com, and the like at all, but would just buy ads and get customers to download their app and always use that when they needed lodging, believing customers would follow them from the customers' favorite platforms to Marriott's favorite platform.

There's a lot more to it though. Worth reading for the details though (IMO)

5
Web Development / Python vs C in the age of AI
« on: July 29, 2024, 07:49:52 PM »
This is interesting....

Quote
So, I coded a class in Python to do a heavy processing of a large text corpus. I made sure it works as expected. Then I asked Claude to rewrite my class in C (the language I don't know) and explain how to run it. Result: Python processing time: 63 minutes. C processing time: 2.3 minutes. This is the future for production cost savings.
https://x.com/burkov/status/1817720357647761622

There is some research to suggest that things are often even worse (see Table 4 on p. 16 of this):
https://haslab.github.io/SAFER/scp21.pdf

So as programmers, we know that we can get things written many many times faster in Python, PHP, Scheme, etc than in a low-level language like C. The traditional solution has been
 1. write something quickly
 2. refactor the PHP (in my case) based on benchmarking code to find bottlenecks (I once found that 90% of script execution was getting image sizes to inject into the HTML).
 3. throw computing power at it
 4. if you need to scale, you can refactor things into C libraries that you can call from PHP. I will say that I personally never had such success that I needed to do this, but obviously when you're serving up millions of high-compute requests per day, you need to do something along these lines.

But as AI becomes proficient at refactoring in low-level languages, it becomes like a super compiler where you can imagine it being language agnostic. So then the process becomes:

 - Ask AI to generate code in a language that you read and understand well.
 - Ask it to include unit testing for everything (this has long been a standard in Drupal - no code change can be accepted without accompanying unit tests)
 - Ask it to include integration testing
 - Ask it to refactor the code into the more efficient languages and benchmark them against each other
 - Ask it to run all tests to verify the refactoring has not introduces errors
 - Deploy

This would require huge compute power and a lot of energy during development, would in the early years result in some catastrophic code failures (so it would need to be in fault-tolerant situations like sh## posting on The Core rather than running nuclear power plants or automatic pilots), but could eventually result in massive savings in wasted computer power caused by running things in PHP or Python.

For a site that serves up <100,000 Wordpress pageviews per day, you would never pay back the effort, and that is probably most sites in the world. So maybe all of the above is BS... just thinking out loud about the possiblities.

6
Traffic / Growing Traffic with AI
« on: July 27, 2024, 01:48:50 AM »
Quote
-It reads my blog & picks 30 strong keywords
-Uses Semrush data to spot easy targets
-Scrapes competing google results
-Writes analysis to notion

https://x.com/MaxBrodeurUrbas/status/1816888715568119815

7
Water Cooler / Top country of birth by state and decade, 1850-2022
« on: July 25, 2024, 04:44:28 PM »
Amazing graphic most of the way down the page that lets you drag a slider decade by decade

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/07/22/how-the-origins-of-americas-immigrants-have-changed-since-1850/

8
Water Cooler / Sucralose... the microplastic of sweeteners
« on: July 21, 2024, 06:07:58 PM »
https://www.futurity.org/artificial-sweeteners-sucralose-environment-3237202/

"The compound is so stable that it escapes wastewater treatment processing and is in drinking water and aquatic environments."

9
Water Cooler / A car review worth reading just for fun
« on: July 21, 2024, 05:48:01 PM »
I drove a Cybertruck around SF because I am a smart, cool alpha male
https://www.sfgate.com/tech/article/drew-magary-cybertruck-review-sf-19561381.php

Quote
That’s why SFGATE asked me, someone who knows precious little about how cars actually work, to test-drive a Cybertruck. I fit the customer profile for one to a T. I am tall. I am white. I am loud. I don’t really have many friends where I live. Most important, I desperately want people to think I’m cool.


11
I've found that taking anything I write and dropping it into Claude with the prompt:

"Edit this for grammar, flow and clarity:"

Yields really good results. Then as a last step after one or two iterations with the above, "Check this for grammar and spelling."

Other than that, I'm still not really doing anything with these tools.

Are you using them to jumpstart coding? Anyone paying for pro versions to get the latest models?

Incidentally, these systems draw multiple megawatts to run, not counting the massive energy to train them and yet in most respects they do not equal the human brain which runs on 120 watts when it's working full out.

12
Hardware & Technology / Signal - are you a Signal user?
« on: July 02, 2024, 12:20:25 AM »
How many Signal users here?

Do you still prefer SMS to Signal? If so, why?

Do you prefer WhatsApp to Signal? If so, why?

I have a pet peave dozens of pet peaves, one of which is people who want to communicate via SMS - friends, banks, etc. The only thing going for it is that it is nearly universal. But my main complaints are

1. it is device specific. At least with Verizon there is no good way to send and receive texts other than from my phone. And I hate this partly because I often don't know where my phone is (like right now), but mostly because thumb typing seriously aggravates my forearm tendonitis that goes back to grad school, which then went away, and then came back when I started using a phone a lot, and then went away when I quit. And voice transcription depends on a reliable, low-latency connection, which is rarely my situation. Plus you can't do it in a crowd or when people are sleeping in the same room or whatever.  So I consider SMS to have the worst Global Interface Score* on the planet.

2. it is insecure. Banks should really stop using it for a second factor.

And the main alternatives are Signal, WhatsApp and email.

I like email. There is some friction because you need to have a subject, though a friend often sends emails in the form, "A short subject line EOM" which tells you that you don't have to actually open it. That said, I think the problem with email is that it doesn't have enough friction, but that's a different convo.

Plusses: email is an open protocol that works on a wide range of devices and messages on one device are available on all others. Security is still not particularly convenient. And people who get a lot of email at work tend to hate email for personal correspondence and I get that many of those people have no choice regarding limiting work email.

Then WhatsApp, whose business model is to mine your connection data and sell it to advertisers on Meta's other platforms. I go nuts when friends ask why I am not using it since it's "free." So that's a non-starter for me (and while I'm ranting, no, I'm not going to Venmo you the money either).

The big plus for WhatsApp is the network effect. So many people are on it, it's tempting to use it, which is precisely why I don't. I've just made the decision that I will write a postcard and drop it in the mail rather than participate in the Meta data mining economy more than I absolutely have to (for now; I might change my mind).

And that's how I have slowly been trying to convert friends to Signal. It basically has every feature that WhatsApp does, is fully secure, is not selling my data, works across devices and my messages from one device are available when I log into another. It seems to be surviving despite depending on donations and enduring the hostility of the UK government.

Anyway... main question is that I'm just wondering how many people in a group like this are using Signal or WhatsApp and how many are not. I get the feeling that adherence to SMS as a main channel is increasingly becoming an American thing.

*Global Interface Score (GIS), a term I just invented, is meant to measure the overall global pain and suffering a bad interface inflicts on the world. The interface is rated on a scale of 0 - 10 with 0 being no pain inflicted and 10 means that it makes users scream and weep, and this is multiplied by the number of users, divided by a million. So since SMS is about a 7 in my book and has 5 billion users (there are more cell phone accounts in the world than people - the total is about 8.6billion), gives it a score of 35,000. Compare that to a really awful interface like Adobe Illustrator clocking in at 9.6 with under 30m users worldwide and it only has a GIS of 288.

13
Hardware & Technology / Concrete batteries
« on: June 14, 2024, 07:04:14 PM »
I’ve been seeing quite a few articles about this. Here’s the one that popped up today

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20240610-how-the-concrete-in-your-house-could-be-turned-into-a-battery

Capacitor actually

14
Or at least I hadn’t

https://www.bitsofwonder.co/p/a-revolution-in-biolog

A bit of a slow start and I almost didn’t read the whole article,  it it starts to get really crazy about where planaria make their appearance in the story

15
Marketing / De-marketing tourism
« on: May 28, 2024, 06:28:52 PM »
The world's revolt against 'bad tourists'
https://www.bbc.com/travel/article/20240522-the-worlds-revolt-against-bad-tourists


Amsterdam launches stay away ad campaign targeting young British men
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65107405

Closer to home: Yosemite reservation system
https://www.nps.gov/yose/planyourvisit/reservations.htm


Why is this happening now? One hypothesis: air travel has never been better.

People love to complain about air travel, but
 - inflation adjusted cost is about 10% of what it was in the 1950s and about 50-60% what it was in the 1980s after derefulation
 - real-time bag tracking
 - far far far safer than before - there has not been a fatal commercial crash in the US in 16 years
 - far better on-time rates than before - for all the press on big delay events, I remember a time post-deregulation when hardly any flights left on time
 - better oversell predictions - I used to fly either half-empty planes or planes where 30 minutes before boarding they would ask for 12 volunteers. Now planes are full and when they need volunteers, they mostly handle it a day or even three in advance.
 - better in-flight entertainment
 - 100% non-smoking (don't forget this one - my first flight to France, I was 1 row forward of the smoking section of a 747 with 180 Frenchies chain smoking Gauloises Bleues).

We get all of that in exchange for somewhat smaller seats and no disgusting lunch that I usually wouldn't eat anyway.

Other hypotheses
 1. the largest inter-generational transfer in wealth from young to old means that young people know they will never be able to buy a home or retire, so why not enjoy life now
 2. credit is easy, albeit not cheap when it comes in the form of credit card debt.
 3. you just have to see those places that you see on IG

Still, I don't think any of the above would be enough (and #3 wouldn't even be a thing) if airline travel were not so cheap and good right now.

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 39