now where did I put my umbrella?

Started by dogboy, August 22, 2011, 09:06:40 PM

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dogboy


rcjordan

Hurricane tracking site done by scripts reading the NOAA output.  NOAA data feed time is 5am-11am-5pm-11pm (EDT) until it gets close to landfall, then they shorten the interval.  Any other weatherman blather in between those 4 feeds is just bullshit to fill airtime.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/tropical.html
scroll down, click "PSWC Track Map" under the satellite image

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/hur_pos_nt4.html

(No, I did not do the site design, assholes.)

littleman

Man DB that looks bad, well at least you know its coming unlike earthquakes.  In the California vs. Florida argument I'd say that's a +1 for Florida.

dogboy

yeah, agreed.  It looked pretty out today, you'd never know it was coming by looking out the window.  A little advance notice is great.  Unfortunately I'm headed out to CO on Sat and they is definitely going to fuck up our vacation one way or another.

Who knows, maybe it will swing wide.

Rumbas

Looks pretty wild?

>(No, I did not do the site design, assholes.)

Hahahahaha, cracked me up RC!

Drastic

>(No, I did not do the site design, assholes.)

Well, obviously they stole your base template.

grnidone

How bad is Irene supposed to get.  And what do you do during a hurricane?  Just stay inside?  Do you have to go to the basement?

dogboy

You are supposed to have hurricane proof glass or shutters (no basements in Florida, I'm looking at sea level right behind my house) and hunker down.

I think its going to miss us though, based on its current trajectory.   More likely to hit rc/Drastic now, and leave us with a tropical storm.


rcjordan

refresh http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/hur_plot_nt4.gif

Re tracking:

A#1 - All or almost all of the big media weather sites are going to be worthless to as the hurricane approaches landfall.  Locally, even nationally, the available bandwidth is going to be consumed when it comes ashore. So bookmark the above gif and you have the barest of barebones info. I'm usually able to access it even during the hurricane, though even it can sometimes crawl. Their server is located in New England, so it's not going to be affected.

There are 4 supercomputers generating US hurricane path data (up from 3 as of 5 or 6 years ago).   These are blended/adjusted by NOAA to pick the most likely path.  While I see the cover-our-ass logic of those cone-shaped probability projections, it's been my experience that the 4 supercomputers are very, very accurate once we get down to a 72 hour window.

According to insurers, MOST of the major property damage (I've read percentages as high as 70%) is due to flying objects like picnic tables, lawn chairs, etc. So it's worth it to get outside and lash that stuff down.

rcjordan

Suck in your gut, Travoli. This one is going to be close.


dogboy

>flying objects
down here I hear coconuts are like cannonballs once the wind is strong enough to launch them from the trees.

>This one is going to be close.
Looks that way; good luck up there.

grnidone

>down here I hear coconuts are like cannonballs once the wind is strong enough to launch them from the trees.

God, I never thought about that.  That's heinous.

rcjordan

#12
>>flying objects

I believe I read that patio furniture is the biggest single problem.


Here are pictures of my house taken about 10 days after Isabel (2003). I was in London when it hit.

The first is on approach from the road.  Doesn't look too bad ....except you normally wouldn't see that much sky. You see, the house HAD been located within groves of trees.

The second is taken from the riverfront.  And the third is within the waterfront 'grove' itself.  The front yard was much the same except that the front grove had more oaks.  With very few exceptions, the pines and hardwood trees you see left standing were so damaged that they had to be removed.  The cypress trees down along the creek did withstand the winds.


Gurtie


dogboy

Yeah, I bet patio furniture can easily kill you at 100+mph:) light. lots of surface area. very hard corners. right outside your house. probably lots of windows looking out on it... they tell us to bring it in on the news.

But don't minimize coconuts too much; I hear they kill more people a year than sharks:)