Terminator Scenario

[rcjordan]

Great. Once they have tasted of blood...

[ergophobe]

Don't worry. A cunning and scrappy low-tech band of resistance fighters led by Morgan Freeman will figure out how to stop this by going into battle and switching to manual.

PS - does anyone else find it ironic that no matter how many times the Terminator thread seems to be dead, it keeps coming back?

[littleman]

Robots, the West vs. Japan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sXz0boNmwak

[Rooftop]

Robots showing the first signs of self awareness

International Business Times: First Signs Of Self-Awareness In Robots Detected. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwpK6smSA

[littleman]

Musk, Wozniak and Hawking urge ban on warfare AI and autonomous weapons

Over 1,000 high-profile artificial intelligence experts and leading researchers have signed an open letter warning of a "military artificial intelligence arms race" and calling for a ban on "offensive autonomous weapons".

The letter, presented at the International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Buenos Aires, Argentina, was signed by Tesla's Elon Musk, Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, Google DeepMind chief executive Demis Hassabis and professor Stephen Hawking along with 1,000 AI and robotics researchers.

...

The authors argue that AI can be used to make the battlefield a safer place for military personnel, but that offensive weapons that operate on their own would lower the threshold of going to battle and result in greater loss of human life.

added:
One thing I was thinking about is that there doesn't need to be true AI for an autonomous weapon to pose a threat.  A simple, dumb algorithm  used for rules of engagement without the ability to reason out a situation could be just as or even more dangerous.

[Travoli]

This is a really long post, but I thought it was worth the time. I recommend part 2 (the future).
Basically, artificial super intelligence will happen between 2022 and 2075 (2040 most think it'll be here). We'll either become immortal or extinct.

http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-2.html

[DogBoy]

https://www.facebook.com/UniversoRacionalista/videos/758648317585394/

[littleman]

That is amazing!  I'd like to see this type of technology in 10-20 years.  I imagine that there are lots of issues right now, like battery life, weight, sensory input, but all those areas are having major breakthroughs right now.

[DrCool]

Robots can now chase you through the woods: http://thenextweb.com/shareables/2015/08/18/watch-boston-dynamics-humanoid-atlas-robot-can-now-chase-you-through-the-forest/

[littleman]

Wow, fortunately it looks a little clumsy at this point.

[Drastic]

now with moar reproduction

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/08/robot-that-produces-babies/

[Rooftop]

Taser Drones legalised in North Dakota : http://www.inquisitr.com/2369682/police-taser-drones-legalized-in-north-dakota/

[littleman]

This is a big mistake.  I hope that the citizens of ND get their act together and pass a law against armed police drones.

[ergophobe]

That sounds like an idea we may come to regret

>>Robots can now chase you through the woods

Until they run out of batteries.... that's the achilles heel. Other aspects of robotics are progressing quickly, but onboard power is still a problem (or perhaps a solution). If they figure out onboard power with no tether, we're screwed.

[ergophobe]

These are good! I have only skimmed so far. There's a lot that's familiar, but it's a great roundup... with great drawings.

The one thing I would *love* to see is what the horizon time predictions were at various stages
- in 1970 when did they think AGI/ASI would arrive?
- in 1990?
- in 2000?

Computer scientists have a history of optimism and not seeing how hard problems are. Donald Knuth famously hired a summer intern in the 1960s or 1970s with the summer project of figuring out how to do image recognition. Might be an apocryphal story, but it does get to the heart of it.

That said, I have Google Voice and the transcript quality is incomparable to when it started. Neural nets are pushing image recognition. For the first time I see these things on predictable trajectories where it is almost guaranteed they will surpass humans in my lifetime....

This is a really long post, but I thought it was worth the time. I recommend part 2 (the future).
Basically, artificial super intelligence will happen between 2022 and 2075 (2040 most think it'll be here). We'll either become immortal or extinct.

http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-2.html